Monday March 6 2006

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TXU power price will track fuel prices

Firm wants to keep customers
as price to beat is to end

TXU Energy rolled out the first of what promises to be a wealth of new product offerings.
     This one lets North Texas customers' prices track the price of natural gas.
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     Customers must sign up for two years to join the plan and face a $200 exit fee.
     The plan includes a $3 monthly surcharge.
     The Energy Market Tracker Plus plan would tie a customer's monthly kwh price with NYMEX futures prices for natural gas.
     Customers want flexibility, explained TXU Energy CEO Jim Burke.
     It's part of TXU's plan to keep more customers as full competition starts at the end of the year.
TXU lost 9% of its customers last year after two price hikes.
     Burke and TXU Corp CEO John Wilder have been touting product choice as a key to making TXU stand out in the market (RT, 12/12).
     The incumbent started offering two fixed-price plans last year (RT, 12/6, 10/17).
     Market Tracker Plus gives customers the chance to save immediately when gas prices fall -- if they're willing to take the risk of immediate hikes when prices rise.
     But customers are protected by the plan's price caps and floors.
     Prices can't rise more than 7.5% above the price to beat and can't fall more than 15% below the price to beat.
     Under the plan prices may not swing more than 1¢/kwh from month to month.
TXU is planning to roll out a Summer Savings Program in time for the cooling season.
     The details aren't set yet but the plan would build off TXU's average billing option -- refining it by adding an average yearly price for power when doing estimates.
     It won't be a traditional flat bill where customers pay the same price each month without any trueups -- regardless of use.
     Wilder has touted time-of-use pricing, long-term contracts, pre-paid plans and home services such as HVAC tuneups.
     Some form of time-of-use pricing may be on the way as TXU is planning a pilot program to install power-monitoring devices inside homes to let customers track power use.
     TXU is installing BPL too, giving it a powerful tool to deliver new products to customers.       Originally published in Restructuring Today on February 24, 2006

Direct Energy's 2005 was really spectacular

Cites role of hedging, price spikes

Revenues of $6.4 billion last year at UK giant Centrica's North American enterprise were up 57% from $4.1 billion in 2004.
       Profits grew 40% to $335 million from a year earlier.
       The firm had its first full year of business as the regulated-rate provider for ATCO's customers, driving its Canadian residential and small business revenues to $2.8 billion -- up a stunning 89% from $1.5 billion in 2004.
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       Prices and customer numbers grew, driving profits to $85 million, up 63% from $52 million the year before.
       The ATCO deal is similar to Direct Energy's ownership of American Electric Power's price-to-beat customers in Texas.
       Direct's Texas business at $1.7 billion was up 26% from 2004 driven by 8% customer growth and higher prices from two price-to-beat hikes.
       Texas profits grew 19% to $129 million compared with 2004.
       The firm credits "successful" energy buying and hedging for offsetting some of the pain of higher wholesale prices and high marketing costs.
       Customer numbers grew as the firm kept down the "churn."
       By the end of the year it had 898,000 Texas customers -- 300,000 of them competitive clients outside AEP territories -- up 9% from 2004.
       Elsewhere in the US, residential and small business revenue grew 9% to $380 million in 2004 as Direct Energy added customers despite pulling out its Georgia gas business part way through 2004.
       Profits rose 500% to $30 million based on higher margins and smart energy buying.
       Home services revenues grew to $654 million -- nearly double the $339 million in 2004 -- and those profits soared 43% to $93 million.
       Direct Energy bought Residential Services Group in October 2004 and thus in 2005 had its first full year serving those customers.
       Its Ontario core protection plan business grew as it launched services businesses in Alberta and Manitoba.
       Customer numbers grew 5% last year to almost 1.9 million for homes services, the firm reported.
       Revenues grew most in Direct Energy's C&I business to $869 million, up 132% from $375 million in 2004.
       C&I gas volumes grew in Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia -- doubling to 405 million therms -- with power volumes up 81% to 4.9 twh in Ontario, Alberta and Texas.
       The biggest news was its entry into the Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Illinois C&I gas markets along with the Maryland and New Jersey C&I power markets.
       The company rolled out its services and technology business in Texas as well.
       But the high costs of rapid growth in its C&I business created the marketer's only loss -- $15 million versus a profit of $3 million the year before.
       The firm's move to build resource assets – gas production and generation -- to support its retail businesses drove trading revenue down by 84% to $28 million but raised profits to $13 million versus $6 million in 2004.
       The company plans to expand its coal-bed methane production in Alberta this year.
       "Customer relationships" grew modestly overall to 5.2 million, up 180,000 or 3.7% from 2004.
       Growth was greatest in US energy markets outside Texas (10%), followed by Texas energy (8%), and home services (5%).
       Its Canadian customer number was flat compared with 2004.
       Ontario's retail power market reopened last year allowing Direct Energy to begin selling power again, first to C&Is. Gas sales were flat.
       Alberta's regulatory and pricing climate was "increasingly difficult," Direct Energy reported. But the firm sold 59,000 new competitive contracts -- most for gas and power.
       The firm's North American margin fell to 5.2% from 5.9% the year before.
       North America was a bright spot for parent Centrica whose revenue grew 18% to $23.5 billion for the year with profits rising 11% to $2.6 billion.
       Direct Energy's results, said the marketer's CEO Deryk King, "underline the importance of the North American business to the Centrica Group."
       Originally published in Restructuring Today on February 24, 2006

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Between capacity markets and blackouts?
When: 03/10/06 , 12:00 pm - 1:30 pm EST
Where: Your home, office or cell phone
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